Supply Chain Issues Continue to Slow Housing

With builders continuing to report supply chain problems that are causing construction delays, overall housing starts decreased 4.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.64 million units, according to a report from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. However, in a sign of strong demand, building permits increased at a solid pace in January.

The January reading of 1.64 million starts is the number of housing units builders would begin if development kept this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts decreased 5.6 percent to a 1.12 million seasonally adjusted annual rate. The multifamily sector, which includes apartment buildings and condos, decreased 0.8 percent to an annualized 522,000 pace.

“While single-family starts dropped in January, the rise in permits, along with solid builder sentiment as measured in recent monthly surveys, suggest a positive start to the year given the recent rise in mortgage rates,” said NAHB chief economist Robert Dietz. “The average 30-year mortgage rate increased from 3.1 percent to a 3.45 percent from December to January. Fueled by higher mortgage rates and construction costs, declining housing affordability will continue to affect the home building market in 2022.”

On a regional basis compared to the previous month, combined single-family and multifamily starts are 2.6 percent higher in the Northeast, 37.7 percent lower in the Midwest, 2.0 percent lower in the South and 17.7 percent higher in the West.

Overall permits increased 0.7 percent to a 1.90 million unit annualized rate in January. Single-family permits increased 6.8 percent to a 1.21 million unit rate. Multifamily permits decreased 8.3 percent to an annualized 694,000 pace.

Looking at regional permit data compared to the previous month, permits are 48.3 percent lower in the Northeast, 0.7 percent lower in the Midwest, 11.4 percent higher in the South and 13.9 percent higher in the West.

There are now 785,000 single-family homes under construction, a 26.8 percent year-over-year gain. There are 758,000 multifamily units under construction – a 14 percent gain.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.